Tuesday, November 1, 2016

The Non-Rational Decision Making of Consumers

Prior to the research of Howard Moskowitz, spaghetti sauce was sold in one variety with two dominating brands: Prego and Ragu. Marketers in the 1970s believed the consumer packaged goods industry was a competition to create the best product possible, the most preferable by all consumers, in that category. Moskowitz created a revolution in the industry when he discovered that consumer’s preferences vary and that there is a possibility to create 5+ best products possible to meet each of these unique preferences. Hence the creation of tomato sauce aisles that now look like below.


While this realization is a victory for consumer taste buds, when forced with a plethora of choice, limited information processing capabilities lead to non-rational decision making in the grocery store. Sheena Iyengar calls this the “choice overload problem”. Iyengar performed a study at a local grocer where she offered samples of six jams in one test and samples of 24 jams in another. She found that consumers were six times more likely to purchase jams in the case where they encountered less choice. When faced with a decision to choose from a number of varieties that was above the channel capacity of seven, consumers chose not to choose. This leads to consumers ending up at home without the dishwashing detergent they needed for the next load, grabbing the most recognizable item on the shelf that doesn’t meet their needs or preferences (a win for companies with high advertising budgets), or ending up with a premium priced product that does not maximize value.

Most consumers do not enter the grocery store as a leisure activity. I’ve lost count of the amount of times I’ve heard my mom say, “Let’s make this a quick trip – get in and get out.” Cognitive speed is required for the rush down the aisles to get home in time to make dinner at a reasonable hour. Usually this is not a problem considering consumers have a mental model of their grocery store: they know where the products are that they need, they have their preferred brand, and they have their “go-to” product. The panic of having to choose arises when a recipe calls for a new product, the “go-to” product is out of stock, or, worst of all, the packaging has been changed on the product so that it is no longer a part of the simplified mental model of the grocery store.  

Consumer behavior will not change, even when presented with introspection on their shopping habits. The role of marketers is to dominate their category and use insights on consumer behavior to lead consumers to purchase their products. So it comes down to the retailers to balance the variety of consumer taste with their inability to process a plethora of choices. An example of a retailer that does this well is Trader Joe’s with their staff selections of products, product descriptions on aisle labels, and highlights of new products, as seen below.



Resources:

Gladwell, M. (2004). Malcolm Gladwell: Choice, happiness, and spaghetti sauce
[Video file]. Retrieved from http://www.ted.com/talks/malcolm_gladwell_on_spaghetti_sauce

Iyengar, S. (2011). Sheena Iyengar: How to make choosing easier
[Video file]. Retrieved from http://www.ted.com/talks/sheena_iyengar_choosing_what_to_choose


4 comments:

  1. I really appreciated your connection to grocery stores and the "choice overload problem," especially in context of tomato sauces. My fiancee actually hates grocery shopping with me because, as the primary cook, I get really distracted by reviewing all of the options in the grocery store - especially tomato sauces/diced tomatoes during chili season.

    I've also seen the choice overload problem occur in some restaurants, especially larger chains with huge menus. (I'm looking at you, Cheesecake Factory.) I've noticed that customers are usually overwhelmed by the options and will choose something that they've had before or know that they will like. I suppose that stores and restaurants think that customers like having a lot of options, but I wonder about what the actual cost/benefit analysis is of giving customers so many options when it usually overwhelms them.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I really like your point that people may feel overwhelmed by so many choices that provided by the the suppliers (It reminds me of a TED talk:https://www.ted.com/talks/sheena_iyengar_on_the_art_of_choosing?language=en ). Moreover, I feel that the reason for why so many choices are overwhelming may be the lack of coherence. If there is a variety of tomato sauces you can choose from (complexity), they should to be arranged or categorized (coherence) in a way that is guidable (legible) for you to choose. For example,
    also like Trader Joe's (I am his fans). I think apart from providing selected products, for certain foods, TJ label them clearly as salty/spicy/sweet or meat/vegetarian.

    However, I do think that categorization can be somewhat subjective sometimes. People with different cognitive maps may appreciate one set of arrangement while others not. Suppliers have to assume what is the most popular ways of categorization/arrangement that the majority of consumers would prefer and how far they should go so as to maintain clarity but not ruin the fun of exploration.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I hate choosing. I hate choosing form even two alternatives, not to mention choosing from a much larger range. I think Beilu is right in that people with different cognitive maps prefer different types of arrangements or categories. One categorization that is effective to a group of people may not work for other people. As a result, coherence may help a lot organizing high complexity according to one’s cognitive maps, but it seems in vein in front of a large number of people (categorized in price levels? in products’ taste? in products’ ingredients? …). In categorization, the more you want to cover, the more complicated it is. So I think complexity does have a critical level, beyond which even well-organized coherence may not help a lot.

    ReplyDelete
  4. The first thing that "struck" me in Kaitlyn's blog was the reference to Moskowitz's research, "when he discovered that consumer’s preferences vary and that there is a possibility to create 5+ best products possible to meet each of these unique preferences." It seems perfectly in alignment with the channel capacity of 5 +/- 2 or 3! With that in mind, I believe offering and categorizing items past channel capacity is creating Iyengar's "choice overload problem" -leading to consumers who make short term (quick) decisions but, consequently, miss the experiences of sampling unique recipes. I believe it's important to have multiple choices so long as they are unique and "justifiable"...how much energy and cost to the environment does it take to produce all of those choices? I agree with Cheng Cheng- there's a direct relationship between categorization and complexity which has a tipping point. And it would also seem that this type of overloaded system is diminishing people's skill level. What I'm referring to is this: If one item (in this case sauce) has salt in it and another item doesn't, wouldn't it just make more sense to make all items without salt and the consumer can just add it as needed? I feel like the supplier/retailer is perpetuating a system of dependency on their product for convenience sake. I know when I go to purchase groceries, I really don't want to spend my time building intricate cognitive maps about spaghetti sauces and their varieties (oh...this one has pepper, this one doesn't/this one has mushrooms, this one doesn't, etc.). I would rather spend my time in Nature and/or facilitating environmental behavior changes!

    ReplyDelete

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.